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My thumbsticks will be your Doom.... sorry 'bout that.
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To quote Frankie from Bungie "We ARE the books." (March-OXM interview).
...and in the books they mention several colonies, there are also fringe (pirate) settlements that try to remain hidden from everyone, UNSC and Covenant (wont spoil the books too much for ya). So i doubt that Earth, or 3 planets is all that's left of human settlement. But granted, the Covenant are pushing a quick offensive and they're really into glassing the planets of their enemies so if the number of planets inhabited by humans is running low it would not be surprising. I think we have to think about how hard it is to locate a particular planet in the galaxy (without intel). But the planets stick out in a solar system and so i think there might be a strong -mobile- human force or maybe it will be that many are finding places to hide (asteroid belts).
We must also ask ourselves if the Covenant even have a home world and what I am about to discuss will spoil the end of First Strike and more so read on at your own risk.....
It was the Spartan II's mission to board a covenant ship and pilot it with the use of top AI and infiltrate "Covenant space". Locating a home world is a very human albeit logical conclusion to draw out but the UNSC is dealing with something very non-human so we must prepare ourselves for anything (as if finding a huge ring didn't already get us thinking outside of the homeworld).
At the end of First Strike they start off the chapter as they do every chapter by giving us the time, date and location of the scene (usually the order is the celestial system, time, date, locale then planet or ship ......or huge ring or what-have-you). It gives us some alien time reference then places us on/in the Steps of Silence in the/a Covenant Holy city named "High Charity. Then all it says is Sanctum of the Hierarchs for the general place. So it's a city in a sanctum....? It gives a lethal description of the Covenant space, filled with cruisers around a "massive, bulbous planetoid". That's it. No mention of a homeworld or a bonified planet. Even more un-humanlike, is the scene in the room decorated with "countless" shards of glass each from a conquered and glassed, planet. This is so counter-intuitive, what would be more precious to man in 2552 than a habitable atmosphere on a planet within the GoldieLocks zone?
I think the Covenant have a very different idea of "homeworld" and perhaps the history of the Forerunners has something to do with it. Whatever happens in Halo 2 it's going to be awesome and I'm sure that where ever we end up it will be very fun to play cause the levels will be magnificent.
As for how MC ends up at earth... he was on the Gettysburg (frigate) with Cortana and all her juicy data at the end of First Strike. I'm pretty sure they were heading towards Earth, and they know that the Covenant have the coordinates for Sol, so maybe that scene with the Chief "jumping out" of a frigate in space (very cool Bungie!), is from the Gettysburg. They only thing i find that might contradict this if you listen real carefully you hear transmissions from Fleetcom and Cortana says hold on "reinforcements are on the way". Now is she refering to the Chief (he is pretty kick-ass but back-up for a whole fleet?) or other ships that the Chief picked up along the way, or even, the eventuality of the chief boarding that Covie cruiser floating beneath him and Cortana doing her thaing???
I don't know how much time has passed between the end of presently known events and the beginning of that scene or the beginning of Halo 2 for that matter. I wouldn't be surprised if they start us off without a clue and we all get caught up in the missions at hand that the game flows (sorta like playing Halo then reading The Fall Of Reach) then they release a book a few months later, as a prequel, explaining all the new perpexlities that'd arise from this awkward begining. BLAM!
[Edited on 5/29/2004 3:25:19 PM]