- Jay120171
- |
- Exalted Mythic Member
Posted by: Jacob The Just
Ok, if this magic system of 'mu' and 'sigma' really does work, explain this to me:
I play 7 games, win each and every one, leveling me up each time till I hit level 29.
I then win a further 4 games in row without leveling up, understandable, due to me sigma now being low, apparantly.
I then lose again. I go down 1 level, no biggy, losing one game would do little to effect my sigma? Right?
Ok, now considering that, explain the following...
I play the next game and rank up to 29 again. In one game. With supposedly low sigma. Lets call this "The Beginning"
I then lose again, and rank down again. Lets call this "point A"
I then play again and rank up. Lets call this "point B"
I then play another 4 games without ranking up to 30. Lets call this "point C"
I then play again and rank down. Finally, lets call this one "point D"
If this system really works, at point C, where my sigma must have been high to be leveled down in a 1 game at point A and up a level in 1 game at point B, just HOW THE -blam!- can you justify me not leveling up to 30 at point C?!
Judging by the system, I MUST have high sigma by point C, due fluctuations in gameplay from the beginning through to point B, and the fact that the system saw fit to rank me down after 1 bloody game at point A, and it also saw fit to rank me up again after 1 game at point B PROVES that my sigma must have been high at the time.
Further proof of my sigma being high comes from point D. I ranked down after 1 game. After 4 wins at rank 29 and no rank up, I lose 1 MOTHER -blam!- GAME and I get ranked down.
Flawless system? I call bull-blam!-. It's biased as hell when you get to certain levels, and theres the god damn proof, otherwise I'd be browsing the forums as a Major, rather than writing this, as a Captain Grade 2.
Well, I looked through your game history and I couldn't see the situation you described. I saw a streak of 6 wins where you went up to 28 and then from there you won a couple, lost a couple, won one, lost one, etc. You probably still have a high sigma because you are generally leveling up and down quickly. Winning and losing in itself isn't the only thing that affects your sigma. It is lowered after every game a variable amount depending on if you performed how the system predicted and the sigma of your opponents. A small amount of sigma is also added after every game to keep it from getting to 0. There is no "rule" as to how fast it is lowered. If you play 30 games and perform how the system predicts each time, your sigma will be low. If you play 300 games and rarely perform how the system predicts, your sigma will still be higher.
Having a high sigma is not necessarily a good thing. If the system thinks you are a 40 but you have a high sigma, your displayed level may be a 30. Your displayed skill is the conservative representation of your Mu (real skill). As you play and your sigma is lowered, your displayed skill may be 35 while your Mu is 40 because your sigma is lower. There have been situations where people level up after a loss. This is because their sigma is lowered and their displayed skill is raised closer to their Mu.
One last thing to keep in mind before getting too upset. You must beat players at equal of higher skill to gain significant Mu and go up. From looking at your games you seem to win and lose in equal amounts. If you want to go up, you need to win against the higher skilled and not lose against the lower skilled opponents. I know this can be frustrating at times and when players start out, they level up quickly. When they suddenly don't level up after every 2 or 3 winds, they get upset. The point is to get players up quickly so that are not beating up on less skilled players for 100 games until they finally get moved up.