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In essence, yes. think of it like this, had he not gone back, then maybe they send someone else to destroy the flood. but what if they fail? That's why if he does it, he's successful, then the rest of the story continues in the halo trilogy. In other words, born in the future to die in the past for mankind and the universe. I also heard that the terminals tell the tale of the reclaimer in halo 3 and that he thought his "beloved one is safe in a shield world". This led some of my friends to believe that it's not John. But it is a new trilogy, so there is room for character development and potential for personality changes.
But like i said, My theory is a long shot.
[Edited on 06.16.2011 8:57 PM PDT]